tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 2–5% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 490 Southwest VPS 07:19 BNA 08:52 2% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 3102 Southwest VPS 12:09 BNA 13:42 5% 2% 0.5% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → VPS 07:00 → ATL 09:18DL 2451 2h 03m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 4h 30m 99% 93%
DeltaDetails → VPS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3085 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 4h 09m 98% 93%
DeltaDetails → VPS 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3051 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 4h 42m 98% 90%
AmericanDetails → VPS 07:16 → CLT 10:03AA 2185 3h 12m Charlotte CLT 13:15 → BNA 13:44AA 538 6h 28m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → VPS 11:15 → ATL 13:35DL 2048 1h 38m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 4h 11m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → VPS 14:45 → ATL 17:04DL 2832 3h 20m Atlanta ATL 20:24 → BNA 20:38DL 3002 5h 53m 99% 88%
AmericanDetails → VPS 06:30 → DFW 08:49AA 2560 1h 13m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:02 → BNA 12:06AA 1396 5h 36m 94% 84%
AmericanDetails → VPS 15:33 → DFW 17:50AA 2501 2h 28m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 20:18 → BNA 22:19AA 2979 6h 46m 96% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON