Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 3:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, WN 1652 at 14:13, with a 4% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


WN 1652 Southwest	VPS 14:13	BWI 17:52	4%	2%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Baltimore on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Baltimore is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	VPS 07:00 → ATL 09:18DL 2451	1h 52m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → BWI 13:01DL 2711	5h 01m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	VPS 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3051	2h 28m Atlanta	ATL 14:02 → BWI 15:53DL 2799	5h 32m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	VPS 11:42 → ATL 13:56DL 2048	3h 58m Atlanta	ATL 17:54 → BWI 20:01DL 2928	7h 19m	100%	89%
American Details →	VPS 07:16 → CLT 10:03AA 2185	2h 32m Charlotte	CLT 12:35 → BWI 14:11AA 2733	5h 55m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	VPS 14:45 → ATL 17:04DL 2832	2h 26m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → BWI 21:26DL 1257	5h 41m	99%	85%
American Details →	VPS 07:24 → DFW 09:47AA 2560	1h 06m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:53 → BWI 15:13AA 2669	6h 49m	94%	81%
American Details →	VPS 12:18 → DFW 14:35AA 2460	2h 32m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:07 → BWI 21:25AA 2251	8h 07m	96%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON