Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Tue 12:00 AM ET · connections flying that day

Tomorrow: one nonstop, G4 372 at 16:36, with a 15% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day


G4 372 Allegiant Flight history →	VPS 16:36	CVG 19:40	15%	5%	0.7%	91%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Hebron on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Hebron is 1 h ahead of Valparaiso). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	VPS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3085	1h 44m Atlanta	ATL 09:59 → CVG 11:25DL 3160	4h 25m	98%	92%
Delta Details →	VPS 07:00 → ATL 09:18DL 2451	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → CVG 12:28DL 3149	4h 28m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	VPS 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3051	3h 41m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → CVG 16:41DL 1008	6h 20m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	VPS 14:45 → ATL 17:04DL 2832	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 19:47 → CVG 21:20DL 2248	5h 35m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	VPS 11:42 → ATL 13:56DL 2048	3h 35m Atlanta	ATL 17:31 → CVG 19:04DL 3119	6h 22m	99%	89%
American Details →	VPS 07:16 → CLT 10:03AA 2185	50m Charlotte	CLT 10:53 → CVG 12:20AA 1533	4h 04m	93%	84%
American Details →	VPS 07:24 → DFW 09:47AA 2560	1h 11m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:58 → CVG 14:27AA 3305	6h 03m	95%	84%
American Details →	VPS 12:18 → DFW 14:35AA 2460	2h 58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 17:33 → CVG 21:05AA 799	7h 47m	98%	78%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON