tailodds FORECAST
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Wednesday, October 7 · our forecast odds · issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Wed, Oct 7: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 07:00, is the safest bet: 91% chance of reaching St Louis on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach St Louis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → VPS 07:00 → ATL 09:18DL 2451 3h 26m Atlanta ATL 12:44 → STL 13:33DL 566 6h 33m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → VPS 06:00 → ATL 08:15DL 3085 1h 55m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → STL 10:58DL 1400 4h 58m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → VPS 09:21 → ATL 11:34DL 3051 3h 43m Atlanta ATL 15:17 → STL 16:06DL 543 6h 45m 99% 87%
AmericanDetails → VPS 07:16 → CLT 10:03AA 2185 1h 55m Charlotte CLT 11:58 → STL 12:54AA 3096 5h 38m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → VPS 14:45 → ATL 17:04DL 2832 2h 11m Atlanta ATL 19:15 → STL 20:05DL 2833 5h 20m 98% 85%
DeltaDetails → VPS 11:42 → ATL 13:56DL 2048 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 17:10 → STL 17:53DL 1393 6h 11m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → VPS 07:24 → DFW 09:47AA 2560 2h 56m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 12:43 → STL 14:41AA 1363 7h 17m 98% 81%
AmericanDetails → VPS 16:31 → DFW 18:55AA 2501 2h 50m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 21:45 → STL 23:42AA 1445 7h 11m 97% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day; flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Wed, Oct 7 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON