Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AS 582 Alaska	ABQ 06:09	SEA 08:06	13%	2%	0.7%	no record
AS 330 Alaska Flight history →	ABQ 14:43	SEA 16:55	20%	3%	0.7%	83%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Seattle on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Seattle is 1 h behind Albuquerque). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ABQ 08:30 → MSP 12:04DL 535	3h 11m Minneapolis	MSP 15:15 → SEA 17:00DL 877	9h 30m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	ABQ 07:55 → SLC 09:44DL 4152 · flown by SkyWest	3h 36m Salt Lake City	SLC 13:20 → SEA 14:35DL 2921	7h 40m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	ABQ 06:00 → LAX 07:09DL 4115 · flown by SkyWest	2h 26m Los Angeles	LAX 09:35 → SEA 12:15DL 304	7h 15m	99%	80%
United Details →	ABQ 05:30 → DEN 07:00UA 5988 · flown by SkyWest	1h 03m Denver	DEN 08:03 → SEA 09:53UA 1348	5h 23m	97%	79%
Delta Details →	ABQ 11:20 → ATL 16:30DL 1004	1h 20m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SEA 20:11DL 714	9h 51m	97%	79%
American Details →	ABQ 11:56 → PHX 12:21AA 1352	1h 58m Phoenix	PHX 14:19 → SEA 17:28AA 3934 · flown by Envoy	6h 32m	93%	78%
United Details →	ABQ 07:00 → DEN 08:23UA 621	3h 01m Denver	DEN 11:24 → SEA 13:14UA 2058	7h 14m	98%	78%
American Details →	ABQ 05:33 → DFW 08:27AA 1231	2h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:50 → SEA 13:08AA 717	8h 35m	96%	72%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON