tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, G4 502 at 11:47, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
G4 502 Allegiant ALB 11:47 FLL 14:59 24% 12% 0.9% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ALB 06:01 → BWI 07:27WN 167 52m Baltimore BWI 08:19 → FLL 11:02WN 2097 5h 01m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 99% 85%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 3h 03m Charlotte CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585 7h 18m 96% 82%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 3h 12m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 9h 03m 99% 80%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 09:21 → BWI 10:47WN 168 1h 55m Baltimore BWI 12:42 → FLL 15:30WN 1002 6h 09m 98% 79%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 3h 52m Philadelphia PHL 11:32 → FLL 14:22AA 1465 8h 01m 98% 77%
DeltaDetails → ALB 12:27 → ATL 15:00DL 1137 1h 39m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 6h 13m 97% 75%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:27 → DCA 07:05AA 5433 · flown by PSA 1h 07m Washington DCA 08:12 → FLL 11:09AA 1893 5h 42m 89% 74%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → ALB 13:16 → DTW 15:03DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest 53m Detroit DTW 15:56 → FLL 19:00DL 1037 5h 44m 72% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON