tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4775 Southwest ALB 06:51 MCO 09:39 4% 2% 0.9% no record
B6 2920 JetBlue Flight history → ALB 08:40 MCO 11:33 10% 5% 1.0% 85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Orlando on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → ALB 06:01 → BWI 07:27WN 167 1h 39m Baltimore BWI 09:06 → MCO 11:33WN 1057 5h 32m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:05 → DTW 07:41DL 2996 1h 04m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MCO 11:23DL 1455 5h 18m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → ALB 06:00 → ATL 08:31DL 2429 1h 54m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → MCO 12:00DL 664 6h 00m 99% 87%
SouthwestDetails → ALB 09:21 → BWI 10:47WN 168 54m Baltimore BWI 11:41 → MCO 14:06WN 1058 4h 45m 95% 84%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:39 → CLT 07:47AA 440 3h 03m Charlotte CLT 10:50 → MCO 12:34AA 1576 6h 55m 96% 84%
AmericanDetails → ALB 05:27 → DCA 07:05AA 5433 · flown by PSA 3h 56m Washington DCA 11:01 → MCO 13:33AA 1153 8h 06m 99% 83%
UnitedDetails → ALB 06:10 → ORD 07:47UA 2225 1h 25m Chicago ORD 09:12 → MCO 13:13UA 1643 7h 03m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → ALB 06:21 → PHL 07:40AA 5854 · flown by Piedmont 3h 20m Philadelphia PHL 11:00 → MCO 13:32AA 3268 7h 11m 97% 80%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → ALB 10:00 → IAD 11:37UA 4889 · flown by CommuteAir 58m Dulles IAD 12:35 → MCO 14:58UA 2206 4h 58m 73% 62%
UnitedDetails → ALB 14:50 → IAD 16:29UA 4942 · flown by CommuteAir 53m Dulles IAD 17:22 → MCO 19:45UA 2463 4h 55m 54% 40%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON