Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 8–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 1137 Delta Flight history →	ATL 09:03	ALB 11:22	8%	2%	0.6%	85%
DL 1241 Delta	ATL 15:13	ALB 17:46	15%	4%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 09:20 → DTW 11:10DL 1298	3h 27m Detroit	DTW 14:37 → ALB 16:20DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	7h 00m	100%	88%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:00 → DTW 08:54DL 1646	1h 51m Detroit	DTW 10:45 → ALB 12:28DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	5h 28m	99%	87%
American Details →	ATL 07:05 → PHL 09:15AA 1428	3h 50m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 26m	99%	85%
American Details →	ATL 06:00 → PHL 08:10AA 3270	50m Philadelphia	PHL 09:00 → ALB 10:26AA 6026 · flown by Piedmont	4h 26m	92%	81%
American Details →	ATL 08:13 → CLT 09:26AA 5063 · flown by PSA	58m Charlotte	CLT 10:24 → ALB 12:46AA 710	4h 33m	90%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 404	3h 27m New York	LGA 11:37 → ALB 12:47DL 5268 · flown by Endeavor	6h 47m	100%	78%
United Details →	ATL 13:18 → ORD 14:41UA 745	3h 29m Chicago	ORD 18:10 → ALB 21:14UA 1382	7h 56m	97%	73%
United Details →	ATL 09:45 → IAD 11:48UA 632	52m Dulles	IAD 12:40 → ALB 14:13UA 4317 · flown by CommuteAir	4h 28m	88%	70%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON