Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: American via Charlotte, leaving 08:13, is the safest bet: 82% chance of reaching Bangor on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	ATL 08:13 → CLT 09:26AA 5063 · flown by PSA	1h 08m Charlotte	CLT 10:34 → BGR 13:20AA 1874	5h 07m	93%	82%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:42 → JFK 10:00DL 2420	3h 49m New York	JFK 13:49 → BGR 15:42DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor	8h 00m	100%	79%
Delta Details →	ATL 06:00 → LGA 08:10DL 404	1h 35m New York	LGA 09:45 → BGR 11:23DL 5254 · flown by Endeavor	5h 22m	98%	78%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:30 → LGA 10:41DL 513	3h 56m New York	LGA 14:37 → BGR 16:21DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor	7h 50m	99%	68%
Delta Details →	ATL 15:30 → LGA 17:49DL 433	3h 52m New York	LGA 21:41 → BGR 23:22DL 5396 · flown by Endeavor	7h 52m	98%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON