Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2626 at 20:56, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2626 Delta Flight history →	ATL 20:56	CID 22:03	12%	4%	0.6%	77%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Cedar Rapids on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Cedar Rapids is 1 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


United Details →	ATL 08:53 → DEN 10:28UA 340	3h 27m Denver	DEN 13:55 → CID 17:01UA 5677 · flown by SkyWest	9h 08m	99%	82%
American Details →	ATL 13:29 → DFW 14:58AA 1276	3h 38m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:36 → CID 20:41AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	8h 12m	97%	81%
American Details →	ATL 11:03 → DFW 12:32AA 820	2h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 15:05 → CID 17:10AA 4318 · flown by Envoy	7h 07m	94%	80%
Delta Details →	ATL 16:38 → MSP 18:18DL 2654	3h 22m Minneapolis	MSP 21:40 → CID 22:49DL 5290 · flown by Endeavor	7h 11m	99%	71%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	2h 56m Minneapolis	MSP 14:26 → CID 15:38DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	6h 44m	99%	70%
Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	1h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 10:16 → CID 11:26DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	5h 01m	97%	68%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	ATL 16:16 → DFW 17:45AA 1008	51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:36 → CID 20:41AA 3798 · flown by Envoy	5h 25m	71%	59%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON