Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–17% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2427 Delta Flight history →	ATL 11:30	COS 12:32	13%	3%	0.6%	83%
DL 971 Delta Flight history →	ATL 19:59	COS 21:07	17%	4%	0.6%	71%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Colorado Springs on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Colorado Springs is 2 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 41m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:51 → COS 17:35DL 4449 · flown by SkyWest	9h 25m	100%	93%
United Details →	ATL 07:05 → IAH 08:15UA 532	1h 41m Houston	IAH 09:56 → COS 11:25UA 6122 · flown by Mesa	6h 20m	97%	83%
American Details →	ATL 06:01 → DFW 07:33AA 2770	3h 55m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 11:28 → COS 12:37AA 6390 · flown by SkyWest	8h 36m	99%	83%
United Details →	ATL 08:53 → DEN 10:28UA 340	3h 02m Denver	DEN 13:30 → COS 14:27UA 4775 · flown by SkyWest	7h 34m	99%	79%
United Details →	ATL 11:10 → DEN 12:28UA 1327	3h 07m Denver	DEN 15:35 → COS 16:32UA 5546 · flown by SkyWest	7h 22m	98%	78%
United Details →	ATL 15:57 → IAH 17:23UA 3992 · flown by Mesa	2h 29m Houston	IAH 19:52 → COS 21:29UA 6126 · flown by Mesa	7h 32m	93%	77%
United Details →	ATL 15:30 → ORD 16:57UA 516	2h 48m Chicago	ORD 19:45 → COS 21:55UA 4638 · flown by SkyWest	8h 25m	93%	73%
American Details →	ATL 08:22 → DFW 09:55AA 1567	4h 00m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:55 → COS 15:02AA 1170	8h 40m	99%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON