Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Salt Lake City, leaving 08:15, is the safest bet: 84% chance of reaching Spokane on time; the tightest one-ticket connections make it only 72% of the time.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 814 Delta	ATL 09:50	GEG 11:29	9%	2%	0.4%	no record
DL 1843 Delta Flight history →	ATL 19:45	GEG 21:32	14%	4%	0.5%	59%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Spokane on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Spokane is 3 h behind Atlanta). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	ATL 07:25 → MSP 09:00DL 2668	3h 19m Minneapolis	MSP 12:19 → GEG 13:21DL 2437	8h 56m	100%	90%
Delta Details →	ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387	3h 15m Salt Lake City	SLC 15:25 → GEG 16:08DL 1503	8h 58m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → LAX 09:48DL 898	3h 12m Los Angeles	LAX 13:00 → GEG 15:35DL 3794 · flown by SkyWest	10h 20m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 12:33 → SEA 14:50DL 629	3h 09m Seattle	SEA 17:59 → GEG 19:15DL 3832 · flown by SkyWest	9h 42m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 09:50 → SEA 12:13DL 774	3h 27m Seattle	SEA 15:40 → GEG 16:55DL 3857 · flown by SkyWest	10h 05m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	ATL 08:15 → SLC 10:14DL 830	1h 16m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:30 → GEG 12:12DL 1452	6h 57m	96%	84%
Delta Details →	ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663	3h 42m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:32 → GEG 18:21DL 1219	9h 25m	99%	83%
Alaska Details →	ATL 08:54 → SEA 11:20AS 348	3h 02m Seattle	SEA 14:22 → GEG 15:25AS 2074 · flown by Horizon	9h 31m	99%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	ATL 16:16 → DFW 17:45AA 1008	52m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:37 → GEG 20:29AA 2757	7h 13m	72%	49%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON