tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 668 at 15:23, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 668 Southwest AUS 15:23 MKE 18:09 16% 6% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → AUS 06:25 → ATL 09:45DL 1258 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 7h 25m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → AUS 06:10 → MSP 09:00DL 1242 1h 05m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 5h 07m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344 2h 04m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 6h 28m 97% 89%
DeltaDetails → AUS 08:15 → ATL 11:26DL 2899 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 14:05 → MKE 15:04DL 2152 6h 49m 99% 88%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361 2h 59m Denver DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:24UA 1836 7h 45m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976 2h 43m Atlanta ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206 7h 05m 100% 86%
UnitedDetails → AUS 05:30 → IAH 06:33UA 1966 47m Houston IAH 07:20 → MKE 10:05UA 6149 · flown by Mesa 4h 35m 93% 86%
DeltaDetails → AUS 13:31 → ATL 17:00DL 2011 2h 48m Atlanta ATL 19:48 → MKE 20:54DL 2388 7h 23m 98% 85%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → AUS 13:01 → ORD 15:57UA 456 48m Chicago ORD 16:45 → MKE 17:35UA 5262 · flown by SkyWest 4h 34m 72% 49%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON