Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 3067 at 19:11, with a 20% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 3067 Southwest	AUS 19:11	PIT 23:18	20%	9%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Pittsburgh on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Pittsburgh is 1 h ahead of Austin). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	AUS 05:25 → ATL 08:47DL 1344	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 11:10 → PIT 12:52DL 1345	6h 27m	98%	89%
Delta Details →	AUS 08:15 → ATL 11:26DL 2899	2h 42m Atlanta	ATL 14:08 → PIT 15:50DL 1353	6h 35m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	AUS 15:00 → ATL 18:25DL 2104	2h 49m Atlanta	ATL 21:14 → PIT 23:00DL 2583	7h 00m	99%	88%
United Details →	AUS 06:40 → ORD 09:39UA 1878	3h 01m Chicago	ORD 12:40 → PIT 15:23UA 3432 · flown by Republic	7h 43m	99%	87%
United Details →	AUS 05:39 → DEN 06:58UA 361	3h 07m Denver	DEN 10:05 → PIT 15:16UA 1308	8h 37m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	AUS 10:35 → ATL 13:54DL 2976	3h 03m Atlanta	ATL 16:57 → PIT 18:47DL 3122	7h 12m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	AUS 13:48 → MSP 16:35DL 2062	3h 15m Minneapolis	MSP 19:50 → PIT 22:52DL 1134	8h 04m	99%	85%
American Details →	AUS 05:01 → DFW 06:12AA 2563	58m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 07:10 → PIT 11:11AA 1583	5h 10m	95%	85%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON