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Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, B6 959 at 08:00, with a 17% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
B6 959 JetBlue Flight history → BDL 08:00 FLL 11:10 17% 7% 1.3% 82%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BDL 06:00 → ATL 08:27DL 2933 1h 58m Atlanta ATL 10:25 → FLL 12:23DL 1512 6h 23m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → BDL 07:00 → ATL 09:26DL 2554 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 20m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → BDL 06:01 → CLT 08:08AA 3182 2h 42m Charlotte CLT 10:50 → FLL 12:57AA 2585 6h 56m 98% 83%
DeltaDetails → BDL 08:05 → ATL 10:29DL 2233 2h 02m Atlanta ATL 12:31 → FLL 14:27DL 1341 6h 22m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:09 → ORD 07:54UA 2672 3h 05m Chicago ORD 10:59 → FLL 15:13UA 279 9h 04m 99% 80%
DeltaDetails → BDL 13:50 → ATL 16:20DL 1082 3h 38m Atlanta ATL 19:58 → FLL 21:56DL 1489 8h 06m 98% 78%
UnitedDetails → BDL 06:00 → IAD 07:26UA 635 47m Dulles IAD 08:13 → FLL 11:09UA 1825 5h 09m 86% 77%
AmericanDetails → BDL 15:29 → CLT 17:35AA 2741 2h 33m Charlotte CLT 20:08 → FLL 22:15AA 2945 6h 46m 100% 77%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON