Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 2673 at 14:00, with a 13% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2673 Southwest	BNA 14:00	ALB 17:23	13%	4%	0.5%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 1 h ahead of Nashville). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637	1h 42m Atlanta	ATL 09:03 → ALB 11:22DL 1137	5h 12m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	BNA 06:05 → DTW 08:46DL 2439	1h 59m Detroit	DTW 10:45 → ALB 12:28DL 3810 · flown by SkyWest	5h 23m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	BNA 10:06 → DTW 12:46DL 2682	1h 51m Detroit	DTW 14:37 → ALB 16:20DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	5h 14m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069	3h 13m Atlanta	ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:46DL 1241	6h 58m	99%	84%
American Details →	BNA 06:28 → PHL 09:39AA 2809	3h 26m Philadelphia	PHL 13:05 → ALB 14:29AA 6028 · flown by Piedmont	7h 03m	98%	84%
American Details →	BNA 08:39 → CLT 11:12AA 966	3h 02m Charlotte	CLT 14:14 → ALB 16:36AA 1075	6h 57m	98%	82%
United Details →	BNA 07:40 → ORD 09:41UA 2465	2h 37m Chicago	ORD 12:18 → ALB 15:26UA 2792	6h 46m	100%	81%
American Details →	BNA 09:18 → ORD 11:10AA 2500	3h 42m Chicago	ORD 14:52 → ALB 17:54AA 4240 · flown by Envoy	7h 36m	100%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON