tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–12% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 4780 Southwest BNA 08:11 MKE 09:57 4% 1% 0.6% no record
WN 655 Southwest BNA 14:14 MKE 16:00 12% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Milwaukee on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 30m Atlanta ATL 10:51 → MKE 11:53DL 1151 6h 43m 100% 92%
DeltaDetails → BNA 06:00 → MSP 08:10DL 2221 1h 55m Minneapolis MSP 10:05 → MKE 11:17DL 561 5h 17m 98% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 07:32 → ATL 09:45DL 2802 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 12:53 → MKE 13:50DL 1246 6h 18m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:03 → MSP 12:14DL 2724 1h 40m Minneapolis MSP 13:54 → MKE 15:09DL 2006 5h 06m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 2h 05m Atlanta ATL 14:05 → MKE 15:04DL 2152 5h 16m 98% 88%
DeltaDetails → BNA 10:54 → ATL 13:04DL 1155 3h 33m Atlanta ATL 16:37 → MKE 17:40DL 1206 6h 46m 99% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:51 → ATL 17:04DL 3159 2h 44m Atlanta ATL 19:48 → MKE 20:54DL 2388 6h 03m 97% 84%
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:00 → DEN 08:55UA 1716 1h 02m Denver DEN 09:57 → MKE 13:24UA 1836 6h 24m 94% 83%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON