tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 667 at 08:36, with a 5% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
WN 667 Southwest BNA 08:36 OKC 10:37 5% 1% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BNA 05:10 → ATL 07:21DL 2637 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020 7h 02m 100% 88%
UnitedDetails → BNA 11:22 → IAH 13:33UA 241 3h 02m Houston IAH 16:35 → OKC 18:15UA 6334 · flown by Mesa 6h 53m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → BNA 08:40 → IAH 11:02UA 4005 · flown by Mesa 3h 33m Houston IAH 14:35 → OKC 16:15UA 6189 · flown by Mesa 7h 35m 100% 85%
DeltaDetails → BNA 09:48 → ATL 12:00DL 3069 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862 6h 34m 99% 84%
UnitedDetails → BNA 07:00 → DEN 08:55UA 1716 1h 10m Denver DEN 10:05 → OKC 13:01UA 5324 · flown by SkyWest 6h 01m 96% 83%
AmericanDetails → BNA 06:01 → DFW 08:20AA 2787 2h 29m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 10:49 → OKC 12:07AA 3099 6h 06m 98% 81%
DeltaDetails → BNA 14:51 → ATL 17:04DL 3159 2h 01m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784 5h 24m 95% 79%
AmericanDetails → BNA 10:24 → DFW 12:34AA 1103 3h 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:23 → OKC 17:38AA 2812 7h 14m 98% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON