tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–16% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
AS 3415 Alaska flown by SkyWest Flight history → BOI 09:47 BUR 11:06 12% 5% 0.6% 88%
WN 1515 Southwest BOI 13:56 BUR 15:15 16% 5% 0.8% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Burbank on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Burbank is 1 h behind Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173 3h 34m Salt Lake City SLC 10:45 → BUR 11:54DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest 6h 54m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BOI 11:01 → SLC 12:25DL 1744 2h 40m Salt Lake City SLC 15:05 → BUR 16:12DL 3693 · flown by SkyWest 6h 11m 99% 90%
UnitedDetails → BOI 06:30 → SFO 07:30UA 4678 · flown by SkyWest 1h 03m San Francisco SFO 08:33 → BUR 09:57UA 2363 4h 27m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → BOI 14:00 → SFO 14:58UA 4661 · flown by SkyWest 3h 07m San Francisco SFO 18:05 → BUR 19:34UA 2001 6h 34m 98% 84%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 08:57 → PDX 09:33AS 3495 · flown by SkyWest 1h 25m Portland PDX 10:58 → BUR 13:14AS 1552 5h 17m 98% 83%
UnitedDetails → BOI 06:30 → DEN 08:29UA 1782 2h 46m Denver DEN 11:15 → BUR 12:48UA 2154 7h 18m 99% 82%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 06:02 → PDX 06:28AS 782 53m Portland PDX 07:21 → BUR 09:36AS 1551 4h 34m 91% 82%
AlaskaDetails → BOI 13:29 → PDX 13:47AS 2209 · flown by Horizon 1h 08m Portland PDX 14:55 → BUR 17:13AS 1386 4h 44m 95% 82%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON