Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 4–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


DL 2808 Delta Flight history →	BOI 05:30	MSP 09:10	4%	1%	0.4%	91%
DL 2982 Delta Flight history →	BOI 14:50	MSP 18:37	14%	4%	0.4%	85%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Boise). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BOI 06:00 → SLC 07:11DL 2173	3h 59m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:10 → MSP 14:40DL 2924	7h 40m	99%	91%
United Details →	BOI 05:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5924 · flown by SkyWest	2h 35m Denver	DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397	6h 40m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	BOI 11:01 → SLC 12:25DL 1744	1h 35m Salt Lake City	SLC 14:00 → MSP 17:32DL 2936	5h 31m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	BOI 07:00 → LAX 08:20DL 3725 · flown by SkyWest	2h 55m Los Angeles	LAX 11:15 → MSP 16:50DL 413	8h 50m	99%	86%
Alaska Details →	BOI 08:57 → PDX 09:33AS 3495 · flown by SkyWest	1h 31m Portland	PDX 11:04 → MSP 16:15AS 714	6h 18m	98%	85%
Delta Details →	BOI 13:03 → SLC 14:27DL 2095	2h 54m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:21 → MSP 20:54DL 2935	6h 51m	98%	84%
Delta Details →	BOI 08:42 → SEA 09:30DL 3740 · flown by SkyWest	2h 42m Seattle	SEA 12:12 → MSP 17:25DL 536	7h 43m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	BOI 10:35 → SEA 11:26DL 3750 · flown by SkyWest	3h 04m Seattle	SEA 14:30 → MSP 19:54DL 942	8h 19m	96%	83%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	BOI 10:35 → SEA 11:26DL 3750 · flown by SkyWest	46m Seattle	SEA 12:12 → MSP 17:25DL 536	5h 50m	46%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON