tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: Delta via Atlanta, leaving 05:30, is the safest bet: 88% chance of reaching Myrtle Beach on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Myrtle Beach on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → ATL 08:21DL 2242 3h 27m Atlanta ATL 11:48 → MYR 13:00DL 3182 7h 30m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → BOS 05:30 → DTW 07:38DL 1019 1h 07m Detroit DTW 08:45 → MYR 10:39DL 1145 5h 09m 96% 87%
AmericanDetails → BOS 06:05 → CLT 08:30AA 418 1h 43m Charlotte CLT 10:13 → MYR 11:23AA 2431 5h 18m 96% 83%
DeltaDetails → BOS 12:30 → ATL 15:21DL 2779 2h 27m Atlanta ATL 17:48 → MYR 19:07DL 1093 6h 37m 100% 82%
AmericanDetails → BOS 05:55 → PHL 07:35AA 1540 1h 20m Philadelphia PHL 08:55 → MYR 10:54AA 5848 · flown by Piedmont 4h 59m 96% 81%
AmericanDetails → BOS 11:49 → CLT 14:09AA 1557 1h 42m Charlotte CLT 15:51 → MYR 17:01AA 2943 5h 12m 100% 76%
AmericanDetails → BOS 12:58 → PHL 14:39AA 2086 1h 40m Philadelphia PHL 16:19 → MYR 18:20AA 5849 · flown by Piedmont 5h 29m 95% 75%
AmericanDetails → BOS 15:37 → CLT 17:58AA 885 2h 05m Charlotte CLT 20:03 → MYR 21:13AA 1085 5h 36m 96% 74%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON