Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 983 at 17:31, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 983 Southwest	BUR 17:31	ABQ 20:32	14%	7%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 1 h ahead of Burbank). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	BUR 12:35 → SLC 15:33DL 3933 · flown by SkyWest	1h 52m Salt Lake City	SLC 17:25 → ABQ 19:12DL 3726 · flown by SkyWest	5h 37m	97%	88%
United Details →	BUR 07:02 → SFO 08:30UA 488	3h 35m San Francisco	SFO 12:05 → ABQ 15:40UA 1597	7h 38m	99%	75%
American Details →	BUR 07:01 → DFW 12:19AA 2599	2h 03m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 14:22 → ABQ 15:19AA 3053	7h 18m	97%	72%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	BUR 12:23 → DFW 17:32AA 1208	51m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:23 → ABQ 19:20AA 2698	5h 57m	64%	42%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON