tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 10–19% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 5087 Southwest BWI 09:01 ABQ 11:07 10% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 4823 Southwest BWI 13:51 ABQ 15:57 19% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albuquerque on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albuquerque is 2 h behind Baltimore). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → BWI 07:11 → DAL 09:17WN 15 2h 09m Dallas DAL 11:26 → ABQ 12:24WN 2796 7h 13m 100% 89%
UnitedDetails → BWI 06:00 → IAH 08:16UA 1898 1h 44m Houston IAH 10:00 → ABQ 11:25UA 3982 · flown by Mesa 7h 25m 99% 87%
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 1h 34m Atlanta ATL 09:05 → ABQ 10:12DL 1004 6h 32m 97% 87%
DeltaDetails → BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592 1h 59m Atlanta ATL 14:23 → ABQ 15:31DL 1109 6h 58m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:30 → DEN 10:25UA 2412 3h 16m Denver DEN 13:41 → ABQ 15:10UA 1594 8h 40m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → BWI 09:08 → DFW 11:30AA 1403 1h 33m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 13:03 → ABQ 13:53AA 3777 · flown by Envoy 6h 45m 94% 80%
DeltaDetails → BWI 14:08 → ATL 16:05DL 2711 1h 52m Atlanta ATL 17:57 → ABQ 19:14DL 8790 7h 06m 97% 79%
AmericanDetails → BWI 11:58 → DFW 14:13AA 2314 1h 48m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 16:01 → ABQ 16:58AA 9 7h 00m 93% 67%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 08:08 → SFO 11:15UA 2192 50m San Francisco SFO 12:05 → ABQ 15:40UA 1597 9h 32m 69% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON