tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 6–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 980 Southwest BWI 10:35 CMH 12:04 6% 2% 0.6% no record
WN 1590 Southwest BWI 17:11 CMH 18:39 14% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Columbus on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → BWI 05:40 → ATL 07:31DL 2950 2h 39m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → CMH 11:48DL 1522 6h 08m 99% 92%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:08 → DTW 07:39DL 2601 2h 36m Detroit DTW 10:15 → CMH 11:23DL 5810 · flown by Republic 5h 15m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 07:00 → ATL 08:52DL 2579 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 12:06 → CMH 13:38DL 1750 6h 38m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → BWI 06:20 → MSP 07:54DL 2872 2h 20m Minneapolis MSP 10:14 → CMH 13:05DL 2550 6h 45m 99% 90%
SouthwestDetails → BWI 07:11 → DAL 09:17WN 15 1h 39m Dallas DAL 10:56 → CMH 14:29WN 4746 7h 18m 100% 90%
DeltaDetails → BWI 10:33 → ATL 12:24DL 1592 1h 57m Atlanta ATL 14:21 → CMH 16:03DL 2892 5h 30m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:35 → MSP 13:11DL 2357 2h 24m Minneapolis MSP 15:35 → CMH 18:28DL 2113 6h 53m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → BWI 11:52 → ATL 13:41DL 801 3h 44m Atlanta ATL 17:25 → CMH 19:03DL 2786 7h 11m 100% 87%
Tight connection: often missed
UnitedDetails → BWI 17:32 → ORD 18:55UA 590 50m Chicago ORD 19:45 → CMH 22:24UA 3614 · flown by Republic 4h 52m 59% 52%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON