Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 4607 United flown by GoJet no forecast: 12-month record	CAE 11:18	EWR 13:29	5%	3%	3.2%	95%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Newark on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CAE 05:35 → ATL 06:40DL 3038	1h 38m Atlanta	ATL 08:18 → EWR 10:29DL 2397	4h 54m	97%	87%
American Details →	CAE 05:00 → CLT 06:09AA 5855 · flown by Piedmont	2h 10m Charlotte	CLT 08:19 → EWR 10:18AA 1707	5h 18m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CAE 07:01 → ATL 08:16DL 3061	1h 49m Atlanta	ATL 10:05 → EWR 12:21DL 2401	5h 20m	97%	83%
United Details →	CAE 06:25 → ORD 07:52UA 4496 · flown by GoJet	2h 59m Chicago	ORD 10:51 → EWR 14:17UA 1856	7h 52m	97%	77%
Delta Details →	CAE 06:40 → ATL 07:54DL 5061 · flown by Endeavor	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 11:02 → EWR 13:15DL 8883	6h 35m	94%	73%
Delta Details →	CAE 11:58 → ATL 13:10DL 5091 · flown by Endeavor	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 15:33 → EWR 17:54DL 2340	5h 56m	99%	66%
Delta Details →	CAE 15:51 → ATL 16:59DL 3193	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 20:08 → EWR 22:29DL 2527	6h 38m	98%	66%
Delta Details →	CAE 13:47 → ATL 14:56DL 2944	3h 39m Atlanta	ATL 18:35 → EWR 20:54DL 2498	7h 07m	99%	64%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON