tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4652 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 06:00 DTW 07:55 10% 5% 0.8% 90%
DL 5117 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 15:00 DTW 16:58 21% 12% 0.0% 79%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Detroit on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:41 → ATL 07:41DL 3057 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 11:00 → DTW 12:56DL 1240 6h 15m 99% 88%
DeltaDetails → CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 2h 45m Atlanta ATL 13:47 → DTW 15:42DL 1031 5h 41m 97% 83%
AmericanDetails → CHA 08:18 → CLT 09:55AA 6105 · flown by Piedmont 2h 32m Charlotte CLT 12:27 → DTW 14:19AA 1683 6h 01m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → CHA 14:50 → ATL 15:52DL 3141 3h 19m Atlanta ATL 19:11 → DTW 21:11DL 1262 6h 21m 99% 82%
UnitedDetails → CHA 07:00 → IAH 08:23UA 5086 · flown by SkyWest 1h 22m Houston IAH 09:45 → DTW 13:42UA 4064 · flown by Mesa 6h 42m 91% 81%
DeltaDetails → CHA 13:10 → ATL 14:08DL 1737 3h 03m Atlanta ATL 17:11 → DTW 19:14DL 2067 6h 04m 97% 80%
UnitedDetails → CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet 3h 51m Chicago ORD 10:50 → DTW 13:27UA 5756 · flown by SkyWest 7h 27m 98% 80%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:38DL 5039 · flown by Endeavor 1h 42m Atlanta ATL 09:20 → DTW 11:10DL 1298 4h 30m 88% 75%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON