tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: no forecasts for this route’s flights; their 12-month records are below.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 4890 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 06:04 LGA 08:15 13% 6% 3.9% 87%
DL 4675 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record CHA 16:46 LGA 18:59 24% 14% 17.1% 76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach New York on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:41 → ATL 07:41DL 3057 2h 49m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 6h 01m 99% 83%
DeltaDetails → CHA 08:13 → ATL 09:13DL 3039 3h 17m Atlanta ATL 12:30 → LGA 14:50DL 525 6h 37m 100% 81%
AmericanDetails → CHA 05:00 → CLT 06:32AA 5866 · flown by Piedmont 2h 48m Charlotte CLT 09:20 → LGA 11:15AA 1150 6h 15m 100% 81%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:00 → DTW 07:55DL 4652 · flown by Endeavor 2h 10m Detroit DTW 10:05 → LGA 11:50DL 2589 5h 50m 96% 79%
UnitedDetails → CHA 06:00 → ORD 06:59UA 4540 · flown by GoJet 3h 04m Chicago ORD 10:03 → LGA 13:26UA 669 7h 26m 98% 75%
DeltaDetails → CHA 06:40 → ATL 07:38DL 5039 · flown by Endeavor 3h 52m Atlanta ATL 11:30 → LGA 13:42DL 467 7h 02m 96% 74%
AmericanDetails → CHA 09:19 → CLT 10:56AA 6050 · flown by Piedmont 51m Charlotte CLT 11:47 → LGA 13:46AA 2268 4h 27m 96% 74%
DeltaDetails → CHA 10:01 → ATL 11:02DL 5309 · flown by Endeavor 2h 28m Atlanta ATL 13:30 → LGA 15:50DL 460 5h 49m 97% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CHA 08:24 → ATL 09:28DL 5448 · flown by Endeavor 1h 02m Atlanta ATL 10:30 → LGA 12:42DL 371 4h 18m 70% 58%
UnitedDetails → CHA 10:27 → ORD 11:29UA 4407 · flown by GoJet 50m Chicago ORD 12:19 → LGA 15:41UA 786 5h 14m 72% 51%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON