Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · 64 nonstops
Thu, Oct 8: WN 2905 at 05:11 is the safest bet, 5% chance of being 15+ min late; evening flights run 22–45%.
Every nonstop on Thu, Oct 8
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late (typical odds: the weather this date has had in past years), with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort. Dimmed: airlines we don’t forecast yet, shown with their 12-month record if they usually fly that weekday.
| WN 2905 Southwest | MDW 05:11 | LGA 08:23 | 5% | 1% | 2.8% | no record |
| UA 2759 United Flight history → | ORD 05:00 | EWR 08:10 | 8% | 3% | 2.0% | 47% |
| YX 5662 Republic | ORD 06:05 | JFK 09:22 | 8% | 3% | 1.8% | no record |
| DL 2767 Delta Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:09 | 8% | 3% | 1.8% | 92% |
| UA 1027 United | ORD 06:00 | EWR 09:12 | 9% | 4% | 1.6% | no record |
| UA 2617 United Flight history → | ORD 06:00 | LGA 09:11 | 10% | 3% | 1.8% | 89% |
| AA 4590 American flown by Republic Flight history → | ORD 07:45 | JFK 11:02 | 10% | 3% | 1.2% | 70% |
| WN 2906 Southwest | MDW 08:21 | LGA 11:33 | 11% | 3% | 1.7% | no record |
| AA 1264 American Flight history → | ORD 06:02 | LGA 09:21 | 11% | 3% | 2.3% | 62% |
| UA 1273 United | ORD 07:30 | EWR 10:41 | 12% | 5% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 699 American | ORD 06:41 | EWR 09:54 | 13% | 4% | 2.3% | no record |
| DL 2633 Delta Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:14 | 13% | 3% | 2.1% | 77% |
| UA 1657 United Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:17 | 14% | 5% | 1.7% | 82% |
| AA 2723 American Flight history → | ORD 07:00 | LGA 10:16 | 14% | 4% | 2.4% | 79% |
| WN 147 Southwest | MDW 09:30 | LGA 12:41 | 16% | 4% | 1.5% | no record |
| UA 2238 United | ORD 08:59 | EWR 12:10 | 16% | 6% | 1.2% | no record |
| UA 1856 United Flight history → | ORD 10:51 | EWR 14:17 | 19% | 11% | 1.2% | 80% |
| UA 606 United Flight history → | ORD 12:11 | EWR 15:39 | 19% | 12% | 1.2% | 78% |
| UA 2092 United Flight history → | ORD 08:00 | LGA 11:17 | 20% | 5% | 1.4% | 86% |
| DL 1642 Delta | ORD 09:32 | LGA 12:44 | 20% | 4% | 1.5% | no record |
| AA 2941 American | ORD 08:13 | LGA 11:32 | 21% | 5% | 2.2% | no record |
| UA 2827 United | ORD 20:12 | LGA 23:34 | 22% | 9% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 2416 American | ORD 10:20 | EWR 13:49 | 22% | 10% | 2.5% | no record |
| UA 669 United Flight history → | ORD 10:03 | LGA 13:26 | 23% | 9% | 1.3% | 82% |
| AA 3128 American Flight history → | ORD 10:22 | LGA 13:48 | 23% | 8% | 1.8% | 71% |
| DL 2917 Delta Flight history → | ORD 10:30 | LGA 13:48 | 23% | 7% | 1.8% | 72% |
| DL 2985 Delta Flight history → | ORD 11:30 | LGA 15:00 | 23% | 7% | 1.8% | 78% |
| B6 1006 JetBlue | ORD 10:58 | JFK 14:07 | 25% | 8% | 1.8% | no record |
| UA 1258 United Flight history → | ORD 08:59 | LGA 12:15 | 26% | 7% | 1.3% | 76% |
| UA 529 United | ORD 11:00 | LGA 14:15 | 26% | 11% | 1.3% | no record |
| AA 3225 American | ORD 11:36 | JFK 14:48 | 26% | 9% | 1.7% | no record |
| UA 786 United | ORD 12:19 | LGA 15:41 | 27% | 10% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 903 American | ORD 11:31 | LGA 14:49 | 27% | 10% | 1.8% | no record |
| WN 241 Southwest | MDW 12:51 | LGA 16:01 | 28% | 9% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 2485 American Flight history → | ORD 13:46 | JFK 17:14 | 29% | 11% | 2.6% | 65% |
| DL 1390 Delta Flight history → | ORD 19:05 | LGA 22:34 | 30% | 12% | 1.7% | 64% |
| WN 309 Southwest | MDW 19:36 | LGA 22:46 | 32% | 11% | 1.1% | no record |
| AA 2224 American | ORD 16:01 | JFK 19:13 | 33% | 11% | 2.5% | no record |
| AA 3163 American Flight history → | ORD 12:56 | LGA 16:26 | 34% | 11% | 1.6% | 68% |
| UA 2466 United | ORD 14:14 | EWR 17:38 | 35% | 19% | 1.5% | no record |
| WN 3337 Southwest | MDW 14:41 | LGA 17:51 | 36% | 10% | 1.2% | no record |
| AA 512 American | ORD 13:54 | LGA 17:24 | 37% | 13% | 2.0% | no record |
| UA 2605 United Flight history → | ORD 18:25 | LGA 21:54 | 37% | 17% | 1.3% | 54% |
| UA 2189 United Flight history → | ORD 13:00 | LGA 16:22 | 38% | 13% | 1.6% | 65% |
| UA 1821 United Flight history → | ORD 14:00 | LGA 17:22 | 38% | 15% | 1.8% | 65% |
| UA 2790 United | ORD 18:02 | EWR 21:13 | 39% | 17% | 1.7% | no record |
| UA 456 United | ORD 17:26 | LGA 20:48 | 39% | 16% | 1.3% | no record |
| WN 2745 Southwest | MDW 17:11 | LGA 20:21 | 39% | 12% | 1.2% | no record |
| DL 1631 Delta | ORD 14:32 | LGA 17:41 | 39% | 12% | 2.2% | no record |
| UA 1236 United | ORD 15:02 | EWR 18:13 | 39% | 17% | 1.5% | no record |
| UA 1630 United Flight history → | ORD 17:05 | EWR 20:13 | 40% | 16% | 1.4% | 70% |
| AA 1936 American Flight history → | ORD 13:10 | EWR 16:30 | 40% | 18% | 3.0% | 65% |
| DL 2226 Delta Flight history → | ORD 17:40 | LGA 20:50 | 41% | 14% | 1.7% | 57% |
| AA 3253 American Flight history → | ORD 17:36 | EWR 21:00 | 41% | 19% | 2.7% | 47% |
| UA 511 United | ORD 16:00 | LGA 19:15 | 42% | 17% | 1.4% | no record |
| UA 2133 United | ORD 15:00 | LGA 18:15 | 42% | 15% | 1.5% | no record |
| UA 249 United | ORD 16:02 | EWR 19:10 | 42% | 17% | 1.4% | no record |
| AA 866 American | ORD 15:12 | LGA 18:29 | 43% | 15% | 2.2% | no record |
| AA 774 American Flight history → | ORD 18:11 | LGA 21:29 | 44% | 16% | 1.8% | 58% |
| UA 2458 United Flight history → | ORD 18:00 | LGA 21:15 | 44% | 17% | 1.3% | 46% |
| AA 673 American Flight history → | ORD 16:51 | LGA 20:08 | 45% | 17% | 1.9% | 47% |
| DL 4725 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 10:05 | JFK 13:30 | 27% | 16% | 6.2% | 73% |
| DL 5035 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 13:00 | JFK 16:37 | 29% | 14% | 11.6% | 71% |
| DL 4783 Delta flown by Endeavor no forecast: 12-month record | ORD 18:00 | JFK 21:40 | 51% | 22% | 23.6% | 49% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON