Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2463 at 17:35, with a 14% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2463 Delta Flight history →	CHS 17:35	MSP 19:37	14%	5%	0.6%	80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Charleston). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CHS 05:10 → ATL 06:17DL 3055	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 08:44 → MSP 10:18DL 2960	6h 08m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:15 → ATL 07:25DL 2124	2h 30m Atlanta	ATL 09:55 → MSP 11:30DL 2090	6h 15m	99%	90%
American Details →	CHS 08:48 → CLT 10:15AA 5817 · flown by Piedmont	2h 14m Charlotte	CLT 12:29 → MSP 14:23AA 1671	6h 35m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	CHS 08:20 → ATL 09:34DL 789	2h 43m Atlanta	ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901	6h 30m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	CHS 09:41 → ATL 11:00DL 5450 · flown by Endeavor	3h 31m Atlanta	ATL 14:31 → MSP 16:06DL 2825	7h 25m	100%	87%
Delta Details →	CHS 06:00 → JFK 08:01DL 5445 · flown by Endeavor	3h 34m New York	JFK 11:35 → MSP 13:50DL 2414	8h 50m	98%	87%
United Details →	CHS 06:00 → ORD 07:33UA 2333	1h 17m Chicago	ORD 08:50 → MSP 10:36UA 2805	5h 36m	98%	86%
Delta Details →	CHS 11:18 → ATL 12:27DL 3091	3h 11m Atlanta	ATL 15:38 → MSP 17:16DL 2981	6h 58m	99%	84%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON