Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, DL 2518 at 05:50, with a 10% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


DL 2518 Delta Flight history →	CID 05:50	ATL 08:52	10%	3%	1.0%	88%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Atlanta on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Atlanta is 1 h ahead of Cedar Rapids). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CID 12:09 → MSP 13:26DL 4899 · flown by Endeavor	3h 52m Minneapolis	MSP 17:18 → ATL 21:05DL 1036	7h 56m	97%	88%
Delta Details →	CID 06:46 → MSP 08:05DL 5248 · flown by Endeavor	2h 27m Minneapolis	MSP 10:32 → ATL 14:04DL 1046	6h 18m	94%	87%
American Details →	CID 04:57 → DFW 07:03AA 3564 · flown by Envoy	2h 21m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 09:24 → ATL 12:54AA 1276	6h 57m	96%	82%
American Details →	CID 05:04 → ORD 06:17AA 3430 · flown by Envoy	2h 20m Chicago	ORD 08:37 → ATL 11:47AA 851	5h 43m	98%	81%
United Details →	CID 08:50 → DEN 10:04UA 1500	3h 22m Denver	DEN 13:26 → ATL 18:30UA 1671	8h 40m	96%	80%
Delta Details →	CID 16:24 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	1h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 19:24 → ATL 23:03DL 8773	5h 39m	86%	77%
American Details →	CID 08:01 → CLT 11:15AA 1039	3h 04m Charlotte	CLT 14:19 → ATL 15:36AA 5175 · flown by PSA	6h 35m	94%	76%
United Details →	CID 15:16 → DEN 16:30UA 514	1h 25m Denver	DEN 17:55 → ATL 23:11UA 248	6h 55m	90%	74%
Tight connection: often missed
Delta Details →	CID 16:24 → MSP 17:39DL 4906 · flown by Endeavor	58m Minneapolis	MSP 18:37 → ATL 22:28DL 1026	5h 04m	54%	48%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON