tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 3–10% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 1196 Southwest CLE 06:41 BNA 07:21 3% 1% 0.5% no record
WN 1197 Southwest CLE 13:36 BNA 14:15 10% 3% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Nashville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Cleveland). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CLE 05:35 → ATL 07:22DL 2734 2h 35m Atlanta ATL 09:57 → BNA 10:09DL 1155 5h 34m 99% 91%
DeltaDetails → CLE 07:05 → ATL 08:55DL 2838 2h 26m Atlanta ATL 11:21 → BNA 11:30DL 2867 5h 25m 99% 91%
UnitedDetails → CLE 06:00 → IAD 07:15UA 1252 1h 15m Dulles IAD 08:30 → BNA 09:29UA 1366 4h 29m 98% 89%
DeltaDetails → CLE 08:05 → ATL 09:55DL 349 3h 59m Atlanta ATL 13:54 → BNA 14:03DL 3159 6h 58m 100% 88%
DeltaDetails → CLE 10:15 → ATL 11:59DL 1500 3h 14m Atlanta ATL 15:13 → BNA 15:26DL 3142 6h 11m 99% 87%
UnitedDetails → CLE 07:00 → ORD 07:36UA 490 3h 01m Chicago ORD 10:37 → BNA 12:29UA 2414 6h 29m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → CLE 14:27 → ATL 16:17DL 775 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 18:31 → BNA 18:52DL 1490 5h 25m 98% 84%
AmericanDetails → CLE 10:15 → JFK 11:59AA 4588 · flown by Republic 2h 40m New York JFK 14:39 → BNA 16:21AA 4710 · flown by Republic 7h 06m 100% 83%
Tight connection: often missed
DeltaDetails → CLE 17:15 → JFK 19:09DL 4975 · flown by Endeavor 51m New York JFK 20:00 → BNA 22:05DL 4908 · flown by Endeavor 5h 39m 65% 41%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON