Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 1626 American Flight history →	CLT 10:35	OKC 12:22	12%	4%	0.8%	89%
AA 768 American Flight history →	CLT 20:31	OKC 22:17	20%	8%	0.8%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Oklahoma City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Oklahoma City is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	2h 27m Atlanta	ATL 09:08 → OKC 10:14DL 2490	5h 44m	99%	89%
United Details →	CLT 11:48 → IAH 13:34UA 6236 · flown by Mesa	3h 01m Houston	IAH 16:35 → OKC 18:15UA 6334 · flown by Mesa	7h 27m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	1h 50m Atlanta	ATL 11:05 → OKC 12:12DL 2020	5h 11m	96%	85%
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	3h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:49 → OKC 12:07AA 3099	7h 22m	100%	83%
American Details →	CLT 13:21 → LAX 15:18AA 352	1h 54m Los Angeles	LAX 17:12 → OKC 22:21AA 6385 · flown by SkyWest	10h 00m	95%	83%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → OKC 20:15DL 2784	6h 53m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	1h 43m Atlanta	ATL 15:15 → OKC 16:22DL 2862	5h 03m	97%	82%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	2h 57m Denver	DEN 13:24 → OKC 16:13UA 1656	8h 33m	98%	81%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON