Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–23% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2278 American Flight history →	CLT 12:38	OMA 14:20	13%	4%	0.7%	85%
AA 961 American Flight history →	CLT 19:35	OMA 21:16	23%	7%	0.7%	78%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Omaha is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	1h 29m Atlanta	ATL 08:10 → OMA 09:28DL 2632	4h 58m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:20 → MSP 07:59DL 2491	2h 40m Minneapolis	MSP 10:39 → OMA 11:57DL 3838 · flown by SkyWest	6h 37m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	2h 11m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	5h 44m	98%	88%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	3h 23m Denver	DEN 13:50 → OMA 16:24UA 2327	8h 44m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	2h 53m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	6h 29m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 06:00 → DTW 07:42DL 1405	53m Detroit	DTW 08:35 → OMA 09:48DL 4055 · flown by SkyWest	4h 48m	95%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	3h 53m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	7h 32m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:57 → MSP 16:44DL 2819	1h 41m Minneapolis	MSP 18:25 → OMA 19:47DL 4024 · flown by SkyWest	5h 50m	95%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON