Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


OH 5303 PSA	CLT 11:04	SHV 12:16	12%	5%	0.7%	no record
AA 6412 American flown by SkyWest Flight history →	CLT 20:20	SHV 21:51	18%	7%	1.0%	58%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	59m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 08:34 → SHV 09:46AA 4009 · flown by Envoy	5h 01m	94%	87%
Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	2h 14m Atlanta	ATL 08:55 → SHV 09:48DL 5302 · flown by Endeavor	5h 18m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	2h 06m Atlanta	ATL 11:21 → SHV 12:11DL 3507 · flown by SkyWest	5h 10m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 15:41 → SHV 16:34DL 4111 · flown by SkyWest	5h 15m	99%	84%
Delta Details →	CLT 14:22 → ATL 15:37DL 2157	3h 28m Atlanta	ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest	6h 30m	98%	83%
United Details →	CLT 11:48 → IAH 13:34UA 6236 · flown by Mesa	2h 36m Houston	IAH 16:10 → SHV 17:21UA 6026 · flown by SkyWest	6h 33m	98%	83%
American Details →	CLT 15:04 → DFW 16:58AA 1709	2h 12m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 19:10 → SHV 20:20AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest	6h 16m	97%	80%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON