Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–15% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 2657 American	CLT 12:28	TUL 14:00	12%	3%	0.7%	no record
AA 2662 American Flight history →	CLT 18:25	TUL 19:58	15%	5%	0.7%	72%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Tulsa on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Tulsa is 1 h behind Charlotte). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	CLT 05:30 → ATL 06:41DL 3186	1h 39m Atlanta	ATL 08:20 → TUL 09:18DL 2754	4h 48m	99%	92%
Delta Details →	CLT 08:01 → ATL 09:15DL 3156	1h 45m Atlanta	ATL 11:00 → TUL 11:56DL 2620	4h 55m	96%	86%
United Details →	CLT 08:40 → DEN 10:27UA 1963	3h 13m Denver	DEN 13:40 → TUL 16:29UA 5311 · flown by SkyWest	8h 49m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	CLT 12:19 → ATL 13:32DL 3190	3h 29m Atlanta	ATL 17:01 → TUL 18:04DL 2837	6h 45m	100%	84%
United Details →	CLT 17:00 → IAH 18:58UA 4020 · flown by Mesa	2h 44m Houston	IAH 21:42 → TUL 23:15UA 6179 · flown by Mesa	7h 15m	99%	83%
American Details →	CLT 05:45 → DFW 07:35AA 3180	3h 02m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 10:37 → TUL 11:58AA 2352	7h 13m	100%	82%
American Details →	CLT 15:04 → DFW 16:58AA 1709	1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 18:34 → TUL 19:48AA 3715 · flown by Envoy	5h 44m	95%	79%
United Details →	CLT 11:48 → IAH 13:34UA 6236 · flown by Mesa	1h 01m Houston	IAH 14:35 → TUL 16:15UA 4239 · flown by CommuteAir	5h 27m	91%	74%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON