tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: United via Denver, leaving 06:00, is the safest bet: 90% chance of reaching Minneapolis on time.

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Minneapolis on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h ahead of Colorado Springs). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → COS 06:00 → DEN 07:05UA 5291 · flown by SkyWest 2h 35m Denver DEN 09:40 → MSP 12:40UA 397 5h 40m 99% 90%
DeltaDetails → COS 06:00 → ATL 10:54DL 1074 1h 23m Atlanta ATL 12:17 → MSP 13:50DL 2901 6h 50m 97% 87%
UnitedDetails → COS 09:20 → DEN 10:33UA 5634 · flown by SkyWest 3h 09m Denver DEN 13:42 → MSP 16:46UA 732 6h 26m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → COS 11:31 → DEN 12:45UA 4675 · flown by SkyWest 2h 57m Denver DEN 15:42 → MSP 18:46UA 2470 6h 15m 99% 84%
DeltaDetails → COS 13:40 → ATL 18:44DL 2427 1h 15m Atlanta ATL 19:59 → MSP 21:38DL 1280 6h 58m 90% 76%
AmericanDetails → COS 10:26 → DFW 13:22AA 1552 2h 26m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 15:48 → MSP 18:18AA 2406 6h 52m 94% 69%
UnitedDetails → COS 12:11 → ORD 15:56UA 1398 2h 30m Chicago ORD 18:26 → MSP 19:58UA 2865 6h 47m 96% 68%
AmericanDetails → COS 08:01 → DFW 10:56AA 782 53m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 11:49 → MSP 14:20AA 1668 5h 19m 80% 64%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON