tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 5–14% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
DL 2876 Delta Flight history → CVG 07:12 SLC 08:55 5% 1% 0.4% 90%
DL 2149 Delta Flight history → CVG 19:59 SLC 21:44 14% 4% 0.5% 80%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Salt Lake City on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Salt Lake City is 2 h behind Hebron). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → CVG 05:34 → ATL 07:02DL 2441 3h 08m Atlanta ATL 10:10 → SLC 12:10DL 387 8h 36m 100% 91%
DeltaDetails → CVG 06:09 → MSP 07:05DL 2752 1h 05m Minneapolis MSP 08:10 → SLC 09:59DL 2628 5h 50m 96% 91%
DeltaDetails → CVG 11:00 → MSP 11:56DL 954 2h 29m Minneapolis MSP 14:25 → SLC 16:16DL 2658 7h 16m 99% 89%
DeltaDetails → CVG 07:09 → ATL 08:41DL 2302 3h 15m Atlanta ATL 11:56 → SLC 13:50DL 663 8h 41m 99% 89%
UnitedDetails → CVG 06:35 → IAH 08:11UA 2442 1h 51m Houston IAH 10:02 → SLC 12:37UA 2242 8h 02m 98% 87%
DeltaDetails → CVG 10:05 → ATL 11:35DL 963 2h 20m Atlanta ATL 13:55 → SLC 15:51DL 423 7h 46m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → CVG 07:16 → LAS 08:16DL 2915 1h 44m Las Vegas LAS 10:00 → SLC 12:29DL 1698 7h 13m 98% 86%
UnitedDetails → CVG 08:00 → DEN 09:02UA 1666 2h 38m Denver DEN 11:40 → SLC 13:13UA 1963 7h 13m 99% 85%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON