tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 26–31% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
WN 284 Southwest DAL 14:36 FLL 18:30 26% 7% 0.7% no record
B6 9010 JetBlue DAL 16:25 FLL 20:17 31% 12% 1.4% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Fort Lauderdale on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Fort Lauderdale is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
SouthwestDetails → DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628 2h 51m Houston HOU 10:01 → FLL 13:36WN 1596 6h 36m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516 2h 08m Atlanta ATL 11:25 → FLL 13:20DL 2063 6h 15m 98% 84%
DeltaDetails → DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441 3h 23m Atlanta ATL 16:39 → FLL 18:40DL 1295 7h 33m 99% 77%
DeltaDetails → DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115 2h 14m Atlanta ATL 17:45 → FLL 19:43DL 1670 6h 24m 97% 73%
SouthwestDetails → DAL 15:26 → MDW 17:48WN 1414 1h 53m Chicago MDW 19:41 → FLL 23:39WN 544 7h 13m 83% 63%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON