Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 2706 at 18:36, with a 21% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 2706 Southwest	DAL 18:36	OMA 20:34	21%	6%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Omaha on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	56m Houston	HOU 08:06 → OMA 10:27WN 1788	4h 27m	96%	92%
Delta Details →	DAL 06:05 → ATL 09:17DL 516	2h 09m Atlanta	ATL 11:26 → OMA 12:45DL 1125	6h 40m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	3h 09m Atlanta	ATL 16:25 → OMA 17:48DL 2364	7h 41m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115	3h 59m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → OMA 20:54DL 2707	8h 35m	98%	83%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON