Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, WN 1459 at 16:56, with a 24% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


WN 1459 Southwest	DAL 16:56	SAV 20:25	24%	7%	0.6%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 1 h ahead of Dallas). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Southwest Details →	DAL 06:00 → HOU 07:10WN 1628	3h 16m Houston	HOU 10:26 → SAV 13:55WN 4394	6h 55m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	DAL 10:07 → ATL 13:16DL 441	1h 47m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	5h 07m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	DAL 12:19 → ATL 15:31DL 1115	2h 19m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	5h 40m	97%	84%
Delta Details →	DAL 15:59 → ATL 19:14DL 512	52m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	4h 18m	81%	71%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON