tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 20–26% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OH 5507 PSA DCA 10:35 BGR 12:34 20% 6% 3.0% no record
OH 5516 PSA DCA 14:40 BGR 16:39 26% 8% 2.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Bangor on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival. Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
AmericanDetails → DCA 06:08 → CLT 07:38AA 1521 2h 56m Charlotte CLT 10:34 → BGR 13:20AA 1874 7h 12m 100% 88%
AmericanDetails → DCA 06:54 → LGA 08:16AA 4403 · flown by Republic 3h 51m New York LGA 12:07 → BGR 13:50AA 4488 · flown by Republic 6h 56m 100% 83%
AmericanDetails → DCA 08:30 → CLT 10:13AA 1518 3h 51m Charlotte CLT 14:04 → BGR 16:48AA 1411 8h 18m 97% 82%
DeltaDetails → DCA 11:07 → JFK 12:31DL 5699 · flown by Republic 1h 18m New York JFK 13:49 → BGR 15:42DL 5151 · flown by Endeavor 4h 35m 86% 68%
DeltaDetails → DCA 11:00 → LGA 12:09DL 5742 · flown by Republic 2h 28m New York LGA 14:37 → BGR 16:21DL 5010 · flown by Endeavor 5h 20m 96% 65%
DeltaDetails → DCA 17:40 → LGA 18:59DL 5763 · flown by Republic 2h 42m New York LGA 21:41 → BGR 23:22DL 5396 · flown by Endeavor 5h 42m 92% 54%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON