Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 18–25% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


WN 176 Southwest	DEN 11:22	ALB 16:58	18%	4%	0.6%	no record
UA 1662 United Flight history →	DEN 17:42	ALB 23:30	25%	9%	0.6%	69%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Albany on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Albany is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 00:59 → DTW 05:48DL 1096	1h 31m Detroit	DTW 07:19 → ALB 09:02DL 3784 · flown by SkyWest	6h 03m	98%	88%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:05 → DTW 10:54DL 1745	3h 43m Detroit	DTW 14:37 → ALB 16:20DL 3809 · flown by SkyWest	8h 15m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 02m Atlanta	ATL 15:13 → ALB 17:46DL 1241	8h 31m	99%	84%
American Details →	DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573	2h 10m Charlotte	CLT 14:14 → ALB 16:36AA 1075	7h 55m	97%	82%
United Details →	DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377	2h 36m Chicago	ORD 12:18 → ALB 15:26UA 2792	7h 26m	99%	81%
American Details →	DEN 07:16 → ORD 11:00AA 2771	3h 52m Chicago	ORD 14:52 → ALB 17:54AA 4240 · flown by Envoy	8h 38m	99%	80%
American Details →	DEN 11:09 → CLT 16:32AA 3299	2h 53m Charlotte	CLT 19:25 → ALB 21:46AA 589	8h 37m	100%	80%
United Details →	DEN 07:45 → ORD 11:16UA 1928	3h 14m Chicago	ORD 14:30 → ALB 17:35UA 1634	7h 50m	100%	78%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DEN 13:18 → CLT 18:36AA 1662	49m Charlotte	CLT 19:25 → ALB 21:46AA 589	6h 28m	65%	52%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON