tailodds FORECAST
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Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, UA 2066 at 09:55, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →
UA 2066 United DEN 09:55 GSP 15:01 12% 4% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Greenville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Greenville is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
DeltaDetails → DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341 2h 23m Atlanta ATL 13:07 → GSP 14:01DL 1273 6h 16m 99% 89%
AmericanDetails → DEN 05:00 → DFW 08:05AA 2612 1h 36m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 09:41 → GSP 13:09AA 3986 · flown by Envoy 6h 09m 98% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431 2h 56m Atlanta ATL 15:07 → GSP 16:07DL 3095 6h 52m 99% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346 2h 03m Atlanta ATL 17:55 → GSP 18:55DL 1021 6h 03m 99% 84%
AmericanDetails → DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573 1h 01m Charlotte CLT 13:05 → GSP 14:07AA 5805 · flown by Piedmont 5h 26m 94% 80%
UnitedDetails → DEN 00:02 → EWR 06:04UA 1745 2h 26m Newark EWR 08:30 → GSP 10:37UA 3604 · flown by Republic 8h 35m 99% 79%
UnitedDetails → DEN 13:30 → IAH 17:04UA 1829 2h 46m Houston IAH 19:50 → GSP 23:19UA 4033 · flown by Mesa 7h 49m 98% 79%
UnitedDetails → DEN 08:00 → ORD 11:43UA 2430 2h 12m Chicago ORD 13:55 → GSP 17:00UA 5403 · flown by SkyWest 7h 00m 99% 79%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON