Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 12–13% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 5514 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 10:15	HSV 14:14	12%	4%	0.6%	88%
UA 5356 United flown by SkyWest Flight history →	DEN 17:45	HSV 21:38	13%	5%	0.6%	75%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Huntsville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Huntsville is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	1h 14m Atlanta	ATL 11:58 → HSV 12:02DL 2182	5h 17m	98%	91%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 18m Atlanta	ATL 15:29 → HSV 15:29DL 3026	7h 14m	99%	90%
Delta Details →	DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346	3h 08m Atlanta	ATL 19:00 → HSV 19:00DL 3171	7h 08m	100%	89%
United Details →	DEN 05:00 → IAH 08:32UA 320	1h 33m Houston	IAH 10:05 → HSV 12:08UA 4315 · flown by CommuteAir	6h 08m	99%	86%
American Details →	DEN 11:09 → CLT 16:32AA 3299	3h 23m Charlotte	CLT 19:55 → HSV 20:19AA 5485 · flown by PSA	8h 10m	100%	83%
United Details →	DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599	3h 26m Houston	IAH 18:35 → HSV 20:42UA 4284 · flown by CommuteAir	8h 08m	98%	82%
American Details →	DEN 10:38 → DFW 13:40AA 1756	3h 14m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 16:54 → HSV 18:49AA 3801 · flown by Envoy	7h 11m	96%	81%
American Details →	DEN 07:36 → DFW 10:44AA 852	3h 15m Dallas-Fort Worth	DFW 13:59 → HSV 15:54AA 3967 · flown by Envoy	7h 18m	96%	79%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON