Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, UA 2082 at 11:15, with a 16% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 2082 United Flight history →	DEN 11:15	RDM 12:53	16%	4%	0.6%	73%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Redmond on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Redmond is 1 h behind Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:40 → SLC 07:13DL 2544	3h 32m Salt Lake City	SLC 10:45 → RDM 11:35DL 3727 · flown by SkyWest	6h 55m	99%	93%
American Details →	DEN 07:13 → PHX 08:08AA 1404	2h 56m Phoenix	PHX 11:04 → RDM 13:46AA 3929 · flown by Envoy	7h 33m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 13:03 → SEA 15:05DL 1358	2h 20m Seattle	SEA 17:25 → RDM 18:43DL 4141 · flown by SkyWest	6h 40m	98%	82%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:30 → SEA 08:26DL 1731	2h 56m Seattle	SEA 11:22 → RDM 12:45DL 3735 · flown by SkyWest	7h 15m	99%	82%
United Details →	DEN 05:15 → SFO 06:53UA 2367	3h 35m San Francisco	SFO 10:28 → RDM 12:12UA 2153	7h 57m	100%	79%
United Details →	DEN 11:21 → SFO 13:04UA 1561	3h 25m San Francisco	SFO 16:29 → RDM 18:10UA 2418	7h 49m	99%	74%
Alaska Details →	DEN 08:40 → SEA 10:42AS 317	1h 14m Seattle	SEA 11:56 → RDM 13:08AS 2400 · flown by Horizon	5h 28m	82%	50%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON