Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: one nonstop, UA 361 at 09:44, with a 12% chance of arriving 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


UA 361 United	DEN 09:44	SAV 15:07	12%	4%	0.7%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Savannah on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Savannah is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	2h 48m Atlanta	ATL 13:32 → SAV 14:38DL 1067	6h 53m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:00 → MSP 09:00DL 1129	3h 45m Minneapolis	MSP 12:45 → SAV 16:23DL 2574	8h 23m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	2h 52m Atlanta	ATL 15:03 → SAV 16:14DL 3014	6h 59m	99%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 12:07 → ATL 17:10DL 995	2h 56m Atlanta	ATL 20:06 → SAV 21:17DL 2425	7h 10m	100%	89%
Delta Details →	DEN 00:59 → DTW 05:48DL 1096	2h 57m Detroit	DTW 08:45 → SAV 10:52DL 1119	7h 53m	98%	88%
United Details →	DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720	3h 40m Houston	IAH 14:55 → SAV 18:22UA 6355 · flown by Mesa	8h 40m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346	1h 58m Atlanta	ATL 17:50 → SAV 18:59DL 527	6h 07m	98%	86%
United Details →	DEN 06:00 → ORD 09:42UA 1377	1h 15m Chicago	ORD 10:57 → SAV 14:15UA 1612	6h 15m	97%	81%
Tight connection: often missed
United Details →	DEN 13:41 → EWR 19:35UA 1505	1h 03m Newark	EWR 20:38 → SAV 22:48UA 2645	7h 07m	67%	40%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON