tailodds FORECAST
Tickets
Any day
Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–18% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →
OO 4765 SkyWest DEN 11:36 SHV 14:57 13% 5% 0.6% no record
OO 376 SkyWest DEN 17:52 SHV 21:14 18% 6% 0.6% no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Shreveport on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Shreveport is 1 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.
UnitedDetails → DEN 07:42 → IAH 11:15UA 1720 3h 13m Houston IAH 14:28 → SHV 15:41UA 5765 · flown by SkyWest 6h 59m 100% 86%
DeltaDetails → DEN 10:52 → ATL 15:52DL 346 3h 13m Atlanta ATL 19:05 → SHV 19:52DL 3505 · flown by SkyWest 8h 00m 100% 84%
AmericanDetails → DEN 12:39 → DFW 15:47AA 2359 3h 23m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:10 → SHV 20:20AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest 6h 41m 97% 80%
AmericanDetails → DEN 10:38 → DFW 13:40AA 1756 3h 41m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 17:21 → SHV 18:31AA 6410 · flown by SkyWest 6h 53m 96% 79%
AmericanDetails → DEN 13:18 → CLT 18:36AA 1662 1h 44m Charlotte CLT 20:20 → SHV 21:51AA 6412 · flown by SkyWest 7h 33m 93% 74%
UnitedDetails → DEN 11:34 → IAH 15:09UA 1599 1h 01m Houston IAH 16:10 → SHV 17:21UA 6026 · flown by SkyWest 4h 47m 86% 73%
Tight connection: often missed
AmericanDetails → DEN 15:11 → DFW 18:21AA 420 49m Dallas-Fort Worth DFW 19:10 → SHV 20:20AA 6245 · flown by SkyWest 4h 09m 69% 57%
How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON