Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 13–20% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


UA 211 United	DEN 09:55	SYR 15:27	13%	4%	0.6%	no record
UA 2350 United Flight history →	DEN 18:10	SYR 23:44	20%	6%	0.6%	76%

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Syracuse on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Syracuse is 2 h ahead of Denver). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DEN 05:45 → ATL 10:44DL 341	1h 53m Atlanta	ATL 12:37 → SYR 14:48DL 2991	7h 03m	99%	87%
Delta Details →	DEN 07:15 → ATL 12:11DL 431	3h 32m Atlanta	ATL 15:43 → SYR 17:59DL 2690	8h 44m	99%	83%
Delta Details →	DEN 06:35 → JFK 12:27DL 336	2h 07m New York	JFK 14:34 → SYR 16:11DL 5328 · flown by Endeavor	7h 36m	99%	79%
United Details →	DEN 06:13 → IAD 11:41UA 1279	54m Dulles	IAD 12:35 → SYR 14:04UA 4499 · flown by GoJet	5h 51m	94%	78%
United Details →	DEN 08:00 → ORD 11:43UA 2430	2h 12m Chicago	ORD 13:55 → SYR 16:48UA 2343	6h 48m	99%	77%
American Details →	DEN 06:41 → CLT 12:04AA 573	1h 46m Charlotte	CLT 13:50 → SYR 15:54AA 1950	7h 13m	95%	77%
American Details →	DEN 11:09 → CLT 16:32AA 3299	2h 02m Charlotte	CLT 18:34 → SYR 20:39AA 1946	7h 30m	100%	77%
United Details →	DEN 11:15 → ORD 14:55UA 2865	3h 14m Chicago	ORD 18:09 → SYR 21:09UA 2481	7h 54m	98%	75%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON