Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8 looks like a normal day here: all 2 nonstops are 32–36% likely to arrive 15+ min late.

Nonstops that day

All 2 nonstops →


AA 569 American Flight history →	DFW 12:36	AVL 16:05	32%	9%	1.5%	74%
AA 3267 American	DFW 19:55	AVL 23:31	36%	10%	1.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Asheville on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Asheville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	1h 24m Atlanta	ATL 09:58 → AVL 11:07DL 3059	4h 47m	99%	89%
United Details →	DFW 05:45 → DEN 06:54UA 773	2h 55m Denver	DEN 09:49 → AVL 14:56UA 1992	8h 11m	100%	86%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:45 → ATL 09:59DL 893	2h 17m Atlanta	ATL 12:16 → AVL 13:12DL 1182	5h 27m	98%	86%
American Details →	DFW 07:00 → CLT 10:44AA 317	2h 29m Charlotte	CLT 13:13 → AVL 14:19AA 6112 · flown by Piedmont	6h 19m	99%	86%
Delta Details →	DFW 10:06 → ATL 13:25DL 839	2h 46m Atlanta	ATL 16:11 → AVL 17:20DL 3101	6h 14m	99%	83%
American Details →	DFW 05:56 → LGA 10:37AA 2925	2h 35m New York	LGA 13:12 → AVL 15:18AA 4418 · flown by Republic	8h 22m	99%	79%
Delta Details →	DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414	2h 23m Atlanta	ATL 19:37 → AVL 20:41DL 3071	5h 51m	97%	79%
American Details →	DFW 05:02 → DCA 09:03AA 1618	1h 03m Washington	DCA 10:06 → AVL 11:37AA 5213 · flown by PSA	5h 35m	94%	73%
Tight connection: often missed
American Details →	DFW 16:18 → PHL 20:56AA 1945	54m Philadelphia	PHL 21:50 → AVL 23:58AA 6093 · flown by Piedmont	6h 40m	69%	45%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON