Thursday, October 8 · typical odds for a Thursday (too early for a weather forecast) · issued Sun 12:00 PM ET · connections flying that day

Thu, Oct 8: United via Denver, leaving 13:44, is the safest bet: 68% chance of reaching Boise on time.

Nonstops that day

All 1 nonstop →


AA 2019 American	DFW 10:50	BOI 13:24	13%	4%	0.8%	no record

Best connections that day, one ticket

Most reliable Quickest (80%+ on time)

Ranked by chance you reach Boise on time, from each leg’s forecast for the day. Total trip = scheduled departure to arrival (Boise is 1 h behind Dallas-Fort Worth). Layovers up to 4 hours. Pick a connection for its 12-month details.


Delta Details →	DFW 05:20 → ATL 08:34DL 401	1h 57m Atlanta	ATL 10:31 → BOI 12:53DL 874	8h 33m	100%	92%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:55 → MSP 09:23DL 1276	2h 16m Minneapolis	MSP 11:39 → BOI 13:44DL 2982	7h 49m	98%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 07:45 → SLC 09:31DL 1291	1h 29m Salt Lake City	SLC 11:00 → BOI 12:16DL 2095	5h 31m	96%	87%
Delta Details →	DFW 06:30 → SEA 08:46DL 804	3h 44m Seattle	SEA 12:30 → BOI 15:11DL 3959 · flown by SkyWest	9h 41m	99%	85%
Delta Details →	DFW 07:35 → LAX 08:45DL 439	2h 59m Los Angeles	LAX 11:44 → BOI 14:46DL 3773 · flown by SkyWest	8h 11m	97%	85%
American Details →	DFW 07:08 → PHX 07:34AA 474	2h 33m Phoenix	PHX 10:07 → BOI 13:21AA 4080 · flown by Envoy	7h 13m	97%	85%
American Details →	DFW 05:47 → ORD 08:13AA 2999	3h 25m Chicago	ORD 11:38 → BOI 14:27AA 2353	9h 40m	100%	83%
Delta Details →	DFW 13:50 → ATL 17:14DL 414	2h 16m Atlanta	ATL 19:30 → BOI 21:57DL 704	9h 07m	96%	82%

How these are worked out. Each flight’s odds are our forecast for that day (typical odds until the weather forecast covers it); flights of airlines we don’t forecast yet use their 12-month record and are marked. Makes the connection: the first flight’s 12-month lateness curve, scaled so its chance of arriving 15+ min late matches the day’s forecast, at the layover minus the 45-minute minimum (90 on separate tickets). Arrives on time: first flight not cancelled × connection made × second flight not cancelled × second flight within 15 minutes, each from the day’s forecast.

About this data: forecast odds from our model for Thu, Oct 8 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON